Skiers in Dudley Creek saw 6 "good sized crowns on the north facing tree glades." Photo: S. Jonas
20-21
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Feb 8, 2021
<p>Since last Wednesday the mountains near Bozeman and Big Sky got 3-4 feet of snow equal to 2.5-3.5” of snow water equivalent (SWE), which is more than what they got in all of January (and most of December). Yesterday there were natural avalanches on the west side of Saddle Peak (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/24129">info</a></strong>), and another on Cedar Mountain (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/24135">photo</a></strong>). Skiers in Beehive triggered a small test slope that produced a relatively very large slab avalanche (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/24127">photos</a></strong>). Ski patrols at the Yellowstone Club and Big Sky triggered very large avalanches on deep buried weak layers, and saw wide natural avalanches on road cuts (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/24136">photos</a></strong>). The list of avalanches, and widespread collapsing over the last four days is extensive (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/weather/wx-avalanche-log">weather and avalanche log</a>). Many avalanches broke deep and wide on sugary, buried weak layers.</p>
<p>Yesterday Doug looked at the snowpack outside of Bridger Bowl’s boundary. As he explains in his <strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FeU_7Q_hhDI&list=PLXu5151nmAvQDzKmH…; even when it stops snowing we will be still able to trigger large avalanches for days. Wind is continuing to drift recent low-density snow into thick slabs on top of a very weak snowpack. Today very dangerous avalanche conditions exist, and danger is HIGH on wind-loaded slopes and CONSIDERABLE on all other steep slopes. Avoid travel on and underneath slopes steeper than 30 degrees.</p>
<p>Since Wednesday the mountains near Cooke City received 3-4 feet of snow equal to 2.9” of SWE. The last couple days moderate to strong west-northwest wind drifted the snow into thicker slabs. These can avalanche and will be large enough to bury or injure a person, and could break deeper on buried weak layers (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u1BY8bb327k&list=PLXu5151nmAvQDzKmH…; from Friday</strong></u>). Yesterday a skier saw natural avalanches on the drive through Yellowstone Park (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/24139">photos</a></strong>). On Friday a skier triggered and was partially buried in an avalanche near Hayden Creek (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/24075"><strong>photo and details</strong></a>). This recent heavy snowfall creates dangerous avalanche conditions. With a few more inches of snow and continued wind today natural and human triggered avalanches are likely, especially on wind loaded slopes. The avalanche danger is HIGH on wind-loaded slopes and CONSIDERABLE on all other slopes. Avoid travel on and underneath slopes steeper than 30 degrees</p>
<p>Since Wednesday the mountains near West Yellowstone received 2 feet of snow equal to 2.1” SWE, with no measurable snow since yesterday morning. Human triggered avalanches are likely and will be large enough to kill. On Saturday near Lionhead Ridge a snowmobiler triggered an avalanche that broke wide, and luckily nobody was caught (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/24111"><strong>photo</strong></a>). Weak, sugary snow buried 3-4 feet deep is slow to gain strength, and it can collapse under the weight of a person, and break wide across slopes (<a href="https://youtu.be/CI0HFvtLrf4"><strong>Lionhead video</strong></a>). Today, very careful route finding and conservative terrain selection are essential. Avalanche danger is CONSIDERABLE.</p>
<p>If you get out, please send us your observations no matter how brief. You can submit them via our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation"><strong>website<…;, email (<a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com"><strong>mtavalanche@gmail.com</strong></a…;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>
Deadliest week for avalanche fatalities in U.S. since 1910
Since last Sunday there were 15 avalanche fatalities in the U.S. The most in one week in the U.S. since 1910 (NYT article). On Saturday in Utah, 8 skiers were caught and 4 were killed. Three events in the last week involved multiple burials and deaths. Our deepest condolences go out to the family and friends of those involved in all the recent events.
Photo: A. Schoening
Natural new snow slabs in YNP near Cooke
These slides were observed in Yellowstone National Park on 2/7/21.
Photo: B. Fredlund
Photo: B. Fredlund
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Feb 8, 2021
Large explosive triggered, and naturals on road cuts, at Y.C.
From YCSP: "We’ve had more snow and SWE in the past 5 days than we had in all of January. Avalanche mitigation today produced avalanches running full path at the new snow/old snow interface for most of our paths.... Some of our lower ridge avalanche terrain climaxed for the 2nd time this season. Our first round of mitigation got a few paths to climax, but the teams didn’t feel confident with the initial results.... They went back out with more explosives and were able to produce an avalanche that ran 400’ wide, with a 6-10’ crown, running close to the ground. This is wind loaded terrain. It’s also perhaps the largest crown I’ve seen on these paths and one of the few times I’ve seen it climax more than once.
I took a drive at the end of the day and captured a few photos of road cuts at the YC that slid today."
Natural avalanche on Cedar Mtn.
A patroller a the YC saw a s slide on some of Cedar Mountain’s lower east facing terrain on 2/7/21.
Photo: YCSP
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Feb 8, 2021
Photo: YCSP